Republicans say the chances of President Trump
Donald Trump leader Ian swears ‘revenge’ by posting an image similar to former Trump Sanders spokesman: Biden ‘moving away’ from ‘populist offers’ Justice Department to investigate the US attorney’s sudden departure in Atlanta after Trump’s criticisms MORE will be convicted in an impeachment trial are plummeting, despite persistent anger among some Republicans over his actions.
Only five or six Republican senators at most seem likely to vote for impeachment, far less than the number needed, say Republican Party sources.
A two-thirds majority of the votes would be required for a sentencing, something that would require at least 17 votes from the Republican Party if each Democrat voted to condemn Trump.
Senators say some things were in favor of Trump.
A significant development is that Trump decided not to forgive any of the individuals accused of participating in the Capitol riot, which would have lost more Republican support.
“I thought that if he forgave the people who were part of the invasion of the Capitol, that would have pushed the number up, because that would say, ‘These are my guys,'” said a Republican senator, who asked to remain anonymous to talk about how Republican Party senators are likely to vote.
Republican senators are also concerned about a political reaction from the ex-president’s fervent supporters.
They observed the angry response to the President of the House Republican Conference Liz Cheney
Elizabeth (Liz) Lynn CheneyFor Biden, a Senate trial could help bipartisanship around the relief of COVID McCarthy supports Cheney in remaining in the lead amid calls for her to resign from Budowsky: Democracy won, Trump lost, President Biden took over MORE (R-Wyo.), Who is facing calls to resign from the Republican Party leadership team after voting last week for Trump’s impeachment.
A second Republican senator said the Republican Party needs to rebuild and warned that it will be difficult to bring Trump’s base to the party’s tent before the 2022 midterm elections and the 2024 presidential election if Republican Party senators vote for large numbers to condemn Trump.
“I think his supporters would be very upset,” said the legislator.
At the same time, this legislator warned of the dangers of the party being indebted to Trump.
“The Republican Party is going to have to discuss its future. At some point, it will have to become something more than a person ”, said the legislator.
Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell
Addison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellTrump selects South Carolina attorney for impeachment trial McConnell proposes to postpone the impeachment trial until February For Biden, a Senate trial could help bipartisanship around the relief of COVID MORE (R-Ky.) On Thursday he proposed to postpone the start of the trial until mid-February. He is asking House impeachment administrators to wait until January 28 to present the impeachment article to the Senate. He wants to give the Trump legal team by February 11 to file his pre-trial petition.
This represents a third factor that can reduce the political momentum among Republicans to condemn Trump, as each day his presidency goes back further and further in the past.
“For the most part, there is a really strong consensus among our members that this is later. He is out of office and impeachment is a solution to remove someone from office, so there is the constitutional issue, ”said the second Republican senator.
“This is my sense of where the majority of our members will fall,” added the source.
A fourth factor is the growing doubt about whether court president John Roberts will preside over a Senate trial.
Republicans say that if Roberts does not chair and the chair is occupied by the vice president Kamala Harris
Kamala HarrisHarris takes up temporary residence at Blair House Amanda Gorman captures national interest after inauguration performance Democrats formally elect Harrison as the new president of the DNC. MORE (D-Calif.) – who voted to condemn Trump for two impeachment articles last year – or President Pro Tempore Pat Leahy (D-Vt.), The process will look like a partisan exercise.
“He starts to lose his legitimacy,” said the first Republican senator about an impeachment trial without the president of the court.
A third Republican senator who said there are “five or six, perhaps” votes to condemn Trump, arguing that there is no point in launching a vote that would further divide the country when the president is out of office.
“If people like me vote no, then it’s only five or six,” added the senator. “What would that do to the country?”
“I don’t want to tell my voters that you can’t vote for him, they are adults,” added the legislator.
Democrats say one of the main reasons for holding a trial, although Trump is now an ordinary citizen, is to stop him from running for president again.
The Senate would need to vote to condemn Trump on the pending impeachment article and then hold a separate simple majority vote to prevent him from a future post.
A fourth Republican senator also said the number of Republican votes expected to condemn Trump will be less than 10.
“I would say certainly less than 10 and I would say that five or six is probably the right thing,” said the legislator.
Republican senators say that colleagues who have publicly declared that Trump has committed impeachable crimes or blamed him for inciting the Capitol crowd are more likely to vote to condemn Trump.
Sens. Ben Sasse
Ben SasseSenate approves resignation of Biden’s Pentagon candidate, Budowsky: Democracy won, Trump lost, President Biden inaugurated Pompeo Labels how China treats the Uighur “genocide” MORE (R-Neb.) E Pat Toomey
Patrick (Pat) Joseph ToomeyThe government used the Patriot Act to collect records of website visitors in 2019 The appeals court ruled that the mass collection of telephone data from the NSA is illegal. (R-Pa.) He said he believes that Trump probably committed impeachable crimes.
Sens. Mitt Romney
Willard (Mitt) Mitt Romney For Biden, a Senate trial could help bipartisanship around the relief of COVID. Bipartisan Senate gang to talk to Biden’s aide about coronavirus relief. (R-Utah) and Susan Collins
Susan Margaret CollinsFor Biden, a Senate trial could help bipartisanship around the relief of COVID Limbaugh falsely says that Biden did not legitimately win by reacting to the possession of the Senate bipartisan gang to talk to Biden’s aide about coronavirus relief MORE (R-Maine) publicly blamed him for inciting the crowd.
And Sen. Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Ann MurkowskiFor Biden, a Senate trial could help bipartisanship around the relief of COVID Bipartisan Senate gang to talk to Biden’s aide about coronavirus relief The Hill’s Morning Report – Biden takes office, calls for an end to the ‘war incivil ‘MORE (R-Alaska) asked him to resign earlier.
There were reports that McConnell himself confided to associates that he believes Trump committed impeachment offenses, and the Republican Party leader did not say how he would vote.
But many believe that McConnell would not vote to condemn Trump if it hurt several of his fellow candidates for re-election in 2022, when Republicans hope to gain control of the Senate again.