Unemployment claims are lowest since the pandemic began

The Fed changed its policy framework last year to focus on “shortcomings” of full employment, rather than “deviations”. In practice, this means that it does not plan to raise interest rates just because the job market heats up – for example, if unemployment falls below historically normal levels – as long as inflation is under control.

“The more vibrant the job market, the more likely an inclusive and vibrant job market is going to be,” said Charles Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, in a conference call with reporters on Thursday. “We are not going to prematurely cut off a vibrant job market.”

Frequently asked questions about the new stimulus package

Stimulus payments would be $ 1,400 for most recipients. Those who are eligible would also receive an identical payment for each of their children. To qualify for a total of $ 1,400, a single person would need an adjusted gross income of $ 75,000 or less. For heads of household, the adjusted gross income must be $ 112,500 or less, and for couples filing jointly, that number must be $ 150,000 or less. To be eligible for a payment, a person must have a Social Security number. See More information.

Buying insurance through the government program known as COBRA would temporarily be much cheaper. COBRA, for the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act, generally allows someone who loses a job to purchase coverage from the former employer. But it is expensive: under normal circumstances, a person may have to pay at least 102% of the cost of the premium. According to the relief bill, the government would pay the entire COBRA premium from April 1 to September 30. A person who qualifies for new employer-based health insurance elsewhere before September 30 would lose eligibility for free coverage. And someone who quit their job voluntarily would also not be eligible. Read More

This credit, which helps working families to offset the cost of caring for children under 13 and other dependents, would be significantly expanded over a single year. More people would be eligible and many recipients would have a greater chance. The invoice would also make the credit fully refundable, which means that you could charge the money as a refund even if your invoice was zero. “This will be useful for people at the bottom end” of the income scale, said Mark Luscombe, principal federal tax analyst at Wolters Kluwer Tax & Accounting. See More information.

There would be a big problem for those who already have debts. You would not have to pay income tax on forgiven debts if you qualify for loan forgiveness or cancellation – for example, if you have been on an income-based repayment plan for the required number of years, if your school has defrauded you or if O Congress or the president wipe $ 10,000 off the debt of a large number of people. This would be the case for debts forgiven between January 1, 2021 and the end of 2025. Read more.

The project would provide billions of dollars in rent and public service assistance to people who are struggling and at risk of being evicted from their homes. About $ 27 billion would go to emergency rental assistance. The vast majority would replenish the so-called Coronavirus Relief Fund, created by the CARES Act and distributed by state, local and tribal governments, according to the National Low Income Housing Coalition. That adds to the $ 25 billion in assistance provided by the aid package approved in December. To receive financial assistance – which could be used for rent, utilities and other housing expenses – families would have to meet several conditions. Family income cannot exceed 80 percent of the area’s average income, at least one family member must be at risk of homelessness or housing instability, and individuals would have to qualify for unemployment benefits or have experienced difficulties (directly or indirectly) because of the pandemic. Assistance can be provided for up to 18 months, according to the National Low Income Housing Coalition. Low-income families who have been unemployed for three months or more would have priority for assistance. See More information.

There have been false starts before, that is, a boom in growth that slowed as the virus worsened in the fall, but the drop in claims last week was still notable for its size. In February, the economy remained with more than nine million jobs below where it was before the pandemic.

Unemployment claims have been at historically high levels in the past year, in part because some workers have been laid off more than once. Still, the bottom line is that the data has recently been favorable, said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

“The weekly numbers have been unstable, but we have been on a downward trend since mid-January,” he said. “As more entrepreneurs see that a reopening is coming, they will be more willing to keep the team.”

Among state and federal programs, the number of new unemployment insurance claims last week was just under 900,000, after being held for months in excess of one million a week.

There were 242,000 new applications for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, a federal program that covers freelancers, part-time employees and others who do not routinely qualify for state benefits, a reduction of 43,000.

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