During the COVID pandemic, there was a constant question to which we all want an answer: When will things be back to normal? The new vaccines offer a path to something close to normal for many of us, but the broader question of when the pandemic will end completely – rather than just being controlled – is more difficult to answer. Now, a new expert assessment from Bloomberg has examined all variables and made an estimate. Unfortunately, it may not be what you want to hear. Read on to find out how long the pandemic will stay with us and to find out more about the latest vaccine news, check out the CDC states that these three side effects mean your vaccine is working.
Bloomberg’s estimate is based on the implementation of the vaccination. The website built what they claim to be “the largest database of COVID-19 photos supplied worldwide”, mapping the delivery of more than 186 million photos on February 17. They are measuring progress in different countries around the world via their vaccine tracker and, based on their latest estimates, it will take a little less than five years – 4.9, to be exact – for the COVID pandemic to end.
“US scientific authorities, like Anthony Fauci suggested that 70 to 85 percent coverage of the population will be needed to get things back to normal “, explains the vehicle. This is the level at which a sufficient amount of the population is vaccinated so that the virus cannot continue to circulate freely .
“Globally, the latest vaccination rate is 6,337,917 doses per day, on average, “says Bloomberg.” At this rate, it will take an estimated 4.9 years to cover 75 percent population with a two-dose vaccine. “And to find out when the numbers may rise again in the United States, check This is exactly when we will see the next outbreak of COVID, warn experts.
At best, according to the February 4 Bloomberg report, Israel is on track to vaccinate 75% of its population in just two months. At current rates, the United States is on track to reach that percentage by the end of 2021. However, it will take China, Chile and Canada almost five years to reach that total. And to get more regular COVID news sent directly to you, sign up for our daily newsletter.
Viruses mutate and adapt over time, and are more likely to have a chance to do so in places where they are not treated or where a large number of people have the virus circulating in them. In short, the more people who have the virus, the greater the chance of developing an invasive version resistant to existing vaccines and treatments.
The resumption of normal global travel will increase the risk that one of these strains will be imported back into a country that it thought was free of COVID. That is why GAVI, the global vaccine alliance, is emphasizing the need for the virus to be eliminated everywhere, with the principle that “no one is safe until everyone is safe”. They warn: “If we go completely back to the way people used to travel in a pre-pandemic world without a vaccine being widely administered, we are likely to see a relentless progression from COVID-19.” And for more vaccine guidance to follow, see The CDC is warning you that you shouldn’t do this right before you are vaccinated.
Bloomberg researchers emphasize that in these relatively early stages of the vaccination process, data is volatile and certain factors can shorten the timeframe: Canada’s vaccination program is currently slowing down due to delayed shipments, but has contracts in place to buy more vaccines per citizen than any other country. Meanwhile, huge vaccine manufacturing centers are only becoming available in Mexico and India, two-thirds of countries have not yet started their vaccine programs, and the new vaccine from Johnson & Johnson is showing positive results when administered in just one injection, instead of requiring two with a waiting period between them.
In addition, a natural level of herd immunity could develop both in people who had the disease and recovered, as well as in those who were vaccinated before 75% of the population received the vaccines. So, hopefully, the world can take less than five years to fully conquer COVID-19. But it is a reminder that this is a worldwide effort and a major challenge. In the meantime, the advice to stop the spread of COVID remains the same: wash your hands, wear a mask, distance yourself socially and get the vaccine when the opportunity comes. And to find out more about the latest news about the new vaccine, check out This is who should wait for the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, experts say.