Ole Miss Rebels (11-8) is the 1.5-point favorite when trying to extend a three-game winning streak when visiting the South Carolina Gamecocks (5-8) on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at the Colonial Life Arena. The game will air at 6:00 PM ET on SECN. The total points for the confrontation are fixed at 137.5.
The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect the DraftKings betting data on February 13, 2021, 2:18 am ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet on the DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best betting odds
Computer Choices
Choose ATS:
Rebels (-1.5)
The model projects the Rebels to win, as does DraftKings, but the model favors them by a little more points (3.3 to 1.5).
Choose OU:
Above (137.5)
The model predicts a total of 3.9 points more than that defined by the DraftKings for this match.
Prediction: Ole Miss 72, South Carolina 69
The predictions are calculated by a data-based algorithm (brute force score) that classifies the results of direct confrontations in a closed network of games. The forecast confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s brute strength score.
Looking Up / Down
- The total average implicit points for the rebels this season is 3.8 points more than the total implied in Saturday’s game (73.8 points implied on average compared to 70 points implied in this game).
- Ole Miss overcame the total points implicit in this confrontation (70) nine times.
- The total average implicit points of the Gamecocks in the season (76.3 points) is 8.3 points more than their total implicit in this match (68 points).
- South Carolina will seek to overcome its total implicit points for this match (68) for the 10th time this season.
The implicit totals are total points projected for each team based on the totals and spreads defined by sportsbooks.
Ole Miss and South Carolina Records ATS
| ATS Registration | ATS registration against 1.5+ points of propagation | Over / under registration (OUP) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebels | 10-9 | 7-6 | 4-15 |
| Gamecocks | 6-7 | 3-5 | 8-5 |
Against The Spread (ATS) records reflect only those games that had odds.
Betting Tips – Shooting Statistics
- The rebels give 44.7% of their field shots this season, which is 0.6 percentage points more than Gamecocks allowed their opponents (44.1%).
- In games, Ole Miss shoots over 44.1% of the field, it is 9-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall.
- South Carolina is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 overall, when their opponents shoot better than 44.7% of the field.
- Gamecocks managed to drop the field 42.7% this season, 0.3 percentage points more than the average 42.4% of the rebels’ opponents.
- This season, South Carolina has accumulated a record of 5-2 against the spread and a record of 3-4 overall in games that the team throws more than 42.4% collectively off the field.
- When Ole Miss’s opponents shoot over 42.7% of the field, it’s 8-1 against the spread and 9-0 overall.
- The rebels’ three-point shot percentage of 28.7% this season is 5.4 percentage points lower than Gamecocks opponents shot from a distance (34.1%).
- Ole Miss is 3-2 against spread and 3-2 overall when shooting better than 34.1% from a distance.
- South Carolina scored 4-1 against the spread, while advancing 4-1 overall in this season’s games, when their opponents hit more than 28.7% of the bottom.
- Gamecocks are dropping 31% of their shots from a distance of three points, which is 6.3 percentage points less than the 37.3% that the rebels have on average in the season.
- South Carolina has 2-2 overall and 2-2 against the spread when it shoots above 37.3% as a team from three points away.
- Ole Miss has a 4-1 ATS record and a 5-0 direct record in games this season – hitting more than 31% depth.
- The rebels hit 5.4 out of three points per game this season, 1.9 fewer shots made on average than the 7.3 per game that Gamecocks give up.
- When South Carolina scores three more points than its opponents, it is 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 overall. When Ole Miss is hit beyond the arc by his opponents, it is 6-5 ATS and 6-5 straight up.
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