Netanyahu’s fate depends on Tuesday’s elections

JERUSALEM (AP) – Israelis began voting on Tuesday in the country’s fourth parliamentary election in two years – a highly loaded referendum on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s divisive government.

Opinion polls predict a fierce dispute between those who support the longest-serving Israeli prime minister and those who want “anyone but Bibi,” as he is widely known.

“Vote, vote, vote, vote, vote,” said Netanyahu after voting in Jerusalem, with his wife Sara by his side. He called the occasion a “festival of democracy”.

“This is the moment of truth for the state of Israel,” said its rival Yair Lapid when voting for Tel Aviv.

One truth: Israelis are tired of reformulation. The vote, like Israel’s world-leading vaccination campaign, had good reviews for the organization – not least because everyone involved has a lot of practice, with the potential for even more if the results don’t produce a governing majority. This response can take weeks.

“It would be better if we didn’t have to vote, you know, four times in two years,” Jerusalem resident Bruce Rosen said after voting. “It is a little tiring.”

Candidates have given their final push in recent days, with a series of TV interviews and public appearances in malls and open-air markets. Campaigns were increasingly reaching people’s personal space with a constant flood of voting texts that made cell phones beep and buzz at any time.

At issue, more than ideology, is Netanyahu, Israel’s longest-serving prime minister. With analysts predicting a lower turnout than last year’s election, he campaigned throughout Tuesday, at one point using a megaphone to tell people on a beach south of Tel Aviv to vote, according to images in your Facebook page.

Netanyahu portrayed himself as an exceptionally qualified global statesman to lead the country through its many diplomatic and security challenges. He made Israel’s successful coronavirus vaccination campaign the centerpiece of his candidacy for re-election, and pointed to last year’s diplomatic deals with four Arab states.

The reality is more nuanced. About 80% of the country’s adults are vaccinated and Israel is reopening, but more than 6,000 died of COVID-19. Israel has been criticized internationally for not quickly sending significant quantities of vaccines to Palestinians to combat the spread of the virus in the West Bank and Gaza.

And one of the four Arab nations, the United Arab Emirates, recently poured cold water on its relationship with Israel because its leaders did not want Netanyahu to attract them to the election campaign. President Joe Biden’s new administration also gave Netanyahu a cold welcome.

Opponents accuse Netanyahu of cheating in managing the coronavirus pandemic for most of last year. They say he failed to impose blocking restrictions on his ultra-Orthodox political allies, allowing the virus to spread, and pointed to the still dire state of the economy and its double-digit unemployment rate. They also say that Netanyahu is not fit to rule at the moment when he is on trial on various charges of corruption, a case he considers a witch hunt.

Up to 15% of the electorate is expected to vote outside their home districts, a batch of absent votes that is larger than normal to accommodate those with coronaviruses or quarantined. The government is sending special polling stations, including polling stations beside patients’ beds, to provide a means for them to vote safely.

These votes are counted separately in Jerusalem, which means that the final results can take days. Given the heated dispute, the large number of undecided voters and several small parties struggling to exceed the 3.25% threshold to enter parliament, it may be difficult to predict the outcome before the final count is completed.

The almost constant campaign comes at a price, said the Israeli president.

“Four elections in two years erode public confidence in the democratic process,” said Reuven Rivlin while voting in Jerusalem, asking Israelis to vote again. “There is no other way.”

Israelis vote for parties, not individual candidates. No single party candidate list has been able to form a ruling majority in Israel’s 72-year history.

Netanyahu’s Likud party and those led by its rivals will look to smaller allied parties as potential coalition partners. The party that manages to form a majority coalition could form the next government – a process that is expected to take weeks.

Tuesday’s election was prompted by the disintegration of an emergency government formed last May between Netanyahu and his main rival. The alliance was plagued by internal strife and the elections were triggered by the government’s failure in December to reach an agreement on the budget.

Netanyahu hopes to form a government with his hard-line nationalist and traditional religious allies. This includes two ultra-Orthodox parties and a small religious party that includes openly racist and homophobic candidates.

Netanyahu’s rivals have accused him of causing paralysis in the past two years, hoping to form a more favorable government that would grant him immunity or protect him from lawsuits.

His opponents include Yair Lapid, Israel’s opposition leader whose Yesh Atid party has emerged as the main centrist alternative to Netanyahu.

Lapid reflected the race’s uncompromising rhetoric on Tuesday, when it offered itself as an alternative to a “government of darkness and racism”.

Netanyahu also faces challenges from several former allies who formed their own parties after bitter break-ups with the prime minister.

They include ex-protégé Gideon Saar, who split from Likud to form “New Hope”. He says the party is a nationalist alternative free of charges of corruption and what he says is a cult of the personality that keeps Likud in power.

“Today we have the opportunity to get out of the impasse,” said Saar when voting for Tel Aviv.

Yamina party leader Naftali Bennett, another former adviser to Netanyahu, may emerge as the king’s creator. A hard-line nationalist politician who was Netanyahu’s Minister of Education and Defense, Bennett did not rule out joining a coalition with the embattled Prime Minister, allowing him to court both sides in future coalition negotiations.

The political personality went so far beyond the race that there was almost no mention of the Palestinians, after years of frozen peace negotiations.

Unlike last year’s elections, the prime minister has no main ally: former President Donald Trump, whose support he gained in previous elections with huge road billboards and skyscrapers showing the two together.

In contrast, Netanyahu barely mentioned Biden. The new US president called the prime minister only after contacting leaders from several other countries and Israel’s supporters began to complain that the delay sounded like an affront. The two men insist that their alliance remains close.

___

Follow Kellman at http://www.twitter.com/APLaurieKellman

.Source