Mizzou Basketball Study Hall vs South Carolina: statistics, analysis and reaction

With just under 11 minutes of the second half, the South Carolina Gamecocks managed to reduce the 19-point lead at the end of the first half to just 7 points. Missouri fans, being the fatalists we are, were going through the full range of emotions watching the lead diminish. After all, the Tigers had just made great plays in the second half in the last five games, with the last three turning into defeats.

Then, with the fans growing, Mizzou did the opposite. They settled down. Five unanswered points, added to four unanswered, added to five other unanswered and suddenly Missouri scored in eight consecutive possessions, came out in an 18-6 run, and the Gamecocks after them.

When the lead reached 20, it never dropped below 15 points and Missouri was never really threatened. Of course, having seen things fall apart quickly in recent games, it was easy to let your mind wander through dark places. But the dark corners of his Mizzou fandom were lit up by the consistent and constant play of the guys who ran the ship throughout the year.

• If you will score 1.26 points for possession: you will win many ball games. Mizzou needed 1.30 to win the TCU, but 1.26 ppi is the Tigers’ most efficient game after the TCU. A good three-point shot helps, a good two-point shot also helps. But also don’t turn the ball. And that with an unnecessary spin of the shot clock with 15 seconds to play, when Mizzou refused to shoot with a 17 point advantage. Remove the final possession and the TO% drops to just 10.8.
• The repercussion numbers are again kind of ugly: South Carolina is a really great recovery team, and Mizzou didn’t give himself many chances for ORBs, but they made a concerted effort to limit Gamecock’s second chance points. SC had only 13 second chance points. Also giving up a second chance, Mizzou managed to end the SC transition game.
• I would like to see Mizzou shoot some more FTs: but the way the attack was clicking didn’t make a difference yesterday. Pinson wasn’t getting a lot of calls when he was attacking, and Mizzou only got 7 seconds on the FTs, despite leading all the time. Again, unusual, especially when Carolina had the Tigers in the bonus with 10:16 remaining for the break … After that foul, they had two more fouls scored in the next minute … and then they were not called for a single foul the rest the way. 9:15 minutes of free play (Mizzou, meanwhile, whistled for eight).

So Mizzou had +6 points from the 3-point line, +10 points from within the arc and had only -1 point, despite hitting six fewer free throws.

Your Trifecta: Dru, Tilly, X

In season: Jeremiah Tilmon 30 points, Xavier Pinson 26 points, Dru Smith 26 points, Mark Smith 14 points, Kobe Brown 8 points, Javon Pickett 5 points, Parker Braun 3 points, Torrence Watson 2 points

This is like an “Everything is right in the world” box. Xavier Pinson was good from the ground, but he didn’t have any turns. Dru Smith was efficient, Kobe Brown was reliable, Mark Smith is starting to look like Mark Smith again. Torrence Watson and Parker Braun even had their moments. And Jeremiah Tilmon was basically perfect.

We know that this team missed Tilmon’s presence. The loss to Arkansas can be explained by his absence, and he has the ability to be a somewhat calming offensive presence. He was not very helpful against Ole Miss, but when Tilmon came into the game, he did what he did all year. He played with himself, kept his readings simple and then made ALL OF HIS FREE RELEASES! There is no doubt that Tilmon had a difficult week, dealing with the loss of a grandmother for the second time in a year, being away from his teammates in the middle of a conference game is also not easy. But he came back and it was everything they needed him to be. It wasn’t amazing, just good, and he did it perfectly.

These numbers were my favorites:

• Xavier Pinson – 33% usage, 44% minimum fee, 0% for
• Dru Smith – 19% usage, 65% floor fee, 4% TO (this is the kind of SEC POY thing incidentally)
• Mark Smith – 17% usage, 61% minimum fee, 0% for
• Jeremiah Tilmon – 23% usage, 67% basic rate, 8% TO

I’m only going to guess that Missouri will win ALL the games when these four guys play like that. I want to highlight Pinson a little bit here, because South Carolina has traditionally been a tough fight for him. In the first game, he had an adjusted negative result in 19 minutes and five turnovers. last season, he only managed 82 ORtg in his only fight. As a freshman, he played a combined 15 minutes and had five turnovers in two games. It was barely playable. So seeing him accept that challenge and be as good as he was in a game where the referees weren’t giving him the whistle is the kind of thing you hope will be the next step for him.

I don’t know how long Tilmon will be kept out of the starting lineup (I hope it was just this game), but it looks like Kobe Brown has no problem being the ‘Get things going’ guy on the starting lineup. He has been aggressive offensively for two consecutive games. In addition to a few twists at the start of the second half that dropped his efficiency, Brown has a good thing going on.

It was a strange week and a half for Mizzou fans. Rushing to judge on a large scale after a difficult period is part of the college athletics course. But we often forget how none of this happens in a vacuum. Although Missouri was basically exceeding expectations at first, the underlying efficiency told us that they were probably not in the top ten that we expected. But one place where I have been consistent is … this is a good basketball team. It is easy to forget that they are when they are being eliminated in Athens or Oxford, but the nightly results in the league are continually bad for everyone and the Tigers are not immune.

While Alabama struggled with its precious home life against Vanderbilt, Kentucky was taking Tennessee out of its own building. The league’s hottest team, arguably Ole Miss Rebels, was defeated on its own floor against the state of Mississippi. Alabama is fleeing the league in the winning column, but Mizzou and now Vanderbilt have shown how fallible they are. In fact, Tide faced Carolina on the road and only beat them 3.

With 7-6 in the league, Mizzou has a lot to do if he wants a protected place in the top four in the conference tournament (if it is played). With Ole Miss and Texas A&M (a team still on the COVID break) at home, and a street game in Florida, the Tigers have three games that can be won on their waiting list. They currently have 62% to beat the rebels, 81% to beat A&M and only 37% to beat Florida. Defeating Carolina on the road, I hope it will calm all the fears you had about the Tigers bombing themselves out of the NCAA tournament (they would not miss the tournament), there is still much ahead of them. Sitting on line six offers some chances to climb.

Other SEC scores

• 8 Alabama 82, Vanderbilt 78
• Kentucky 70, 19 Tennessee 55
• Florida 70, Georgia 63

• LSU 104, Auburn 80

• Mississippi State 66, Ole Miss 56
• 24 Arkansas vs Texas A&M PPD

SEC Classification

1. Alabama 13-1
2. LSU 9 – 4
3. Arkansas 9 – 4
4. Florida 7 – 5
5. Tennessee 8 – 6
6. Missouri 7 – 6
7. Kentucky 7 – 7
8. Ole Miss 7 – 7
9. Mississippi State 6 – 8
10. Georgia 6 – 9
11. Auburn 5 – 9
12. Texas A&M 2 – 6
13. South Carolina 3-9
14. Vanderbilt 2 – 10

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Percentage of real shot (TS%): Quite simply, this calculates a player’s shot percentage, taking into account 2FG%, 3FG% and FT%. The formula is Total Points / 2 * (FGA + (0.475 + FTA)). The 0.475 is a free throw modifier. KenPomeroy and other college basketball sites typically use 0.475, while the NBA typically uses 0.44. This is basically what TS% is. A measure of scoring efficiency based on the number of points scored on the number of goods on which they attempted to score, more here.

Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%): This is similar to TS%, but takes more into account the 3-point shot. The formula is FGM + (0.5 * 3PM) / FGA

So, think of TS% as scoring efficiency and eFG% as shooting efficiency, more here.

Expected offensive recoveries: Measured based on the average rebounds a college basketball team gets on both the defensive and offensive ends. This takes the overall number of missed shots (or shots available to be hit) and divides them by the number of offensive rebounds and compares them with the statistical average.

Settings: A takeoff of the game’s score metric (definition on here) accepted by many basketball nerds. It takes into account points, assists, rebounds (offensive and defensive), steals, blocks, deflections and fouls to determine an individual’s “score” for a given game. The “adjustment” in the game’s adjusted score is simply to match the total game score to the total points scored in the game, thus redistributing the game’s scored points to those who had the greatest impact in the game itself, rather than just how many balls one player placed in a basket.

Offensive classification (ORtg): Similar to the game’s adjusted score, but it shows how many points per possession a player would score if he averaged more than 100 possessions.

Use%: This “estimates the% of the team’s possessions that a player consumes while on the ground” (via sports-reference.com/cbb) The use of these possessions is determined through a formula using pitches and free-throw attempts, offensive rebounds, assists and twists. The higher the number, the more prevalent is the player (good or bad) in a team’s offensive result.

Floor%: Through sports-reference.com/cbb: Floor% answers the question, “When a player uses possession, how likely is his team to score at least 1 point?” The higher the% of the floor, the more often the team is likely to score when a particular player is involved.

Touch / possession: Using shooting attempts, free-throw attempts, assists and turns, touch attempt to estimate “the number of times a player has touched the ball in an attack position on the floor.” Take the ring estimate and divide it by the estimated number of possessions a player has on the court and you will have a rough idea of ​​how many times a player has touched the ball in a given possession. For shipowners, you will see the number in the 3-4 range. To shoot guards and wards, 2-3. For an offensively limited center, 1.30. You got the idea.

Anyway, using the number of strokes, we can estimate the percentage of time that a player “in attack position” spends, kicks, turns the ball or suffers a foul.