Live updates – NFL playoff image, scenarios, updated chances to win and more for Week 17

Several NFL playoff spots are still in play at Week 17, along with some division titles. And four teams that are outside still have a chance to play post-season football.

We are following the live image of the playoff on Sunday, after the playoff races in both the AFC and NFC. We will update the playoff chances and ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) projections periodically over the 16 games, showing how the playoff scenario changes as games are played. Achievement scenarios are provided for each team as well. Keep checking all day to see the most up-to-date information from the playoffs and seedings teams based on FPI projections. All game times are ET.

LAST UPDATE: 10am ET

Jump to the contention team:
ARI | BAL | BUF | CHI | CLE | DAL
GB | IND | KC | HOME | MIA | NOT
NYG | PIT | SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

NFC

Scenario: The Packers won NFC North and can win seed number 1 – giving them the advantage of playing at home during the NFC playoffs and goodbye in the wild card round – with a win against Chicago OR a loss from Seattle. They can also take second place with a loss in New Orleans and a victory in Seattle. They cannot fall below third place in the conference.

Follow relevant matches live: GB-CHI (4:25 pm) | NO-CAR (4:25 pm) | SEA-SF (4:25 pm)

FPI odds: The Packers’ chances of being the No. 1 seed in the NFC are 79.8%.


Scenario: The Saints won the NFC South and can win seed number 1 – giving them the advantage of playing at home during the NFC playoffs and a farewell in the wild card round – with a victory against Carolina, a defeat at Green Bay and a Seattle win. They can also take second place with a win and a loss at Green Bay OR Seattle. They cannot fall below third place in the conference.

Follow relevant matches live: NO-CAR (4:25 pm) | GB-CHI (4:25 pm) | SEA-SF (4:25 pm)

FPI odds: Santos’ chances of being the No. 1 seed in the NFC are 14.8%.


Scenario: The Seahawks conquered NFC West and can claim seed number 1 – giving them the advantage of playing at home during the NFC playoffs and goodbye in the wild card round – with a victory against San Francisco, a defeat in New Orleans and a Loss of Green Bay. They can also take second place with a victory, a victory in New Orleans and a defeat in Green Bay OR a victory, a victory in Green Bay and a defeat in New Orleans. They cannot fall below third place in the conference.

Follow relevant matches live: SEA-SF (4:25 pm) | NO-CAR (4:25 pm) | GB-CHI (4:25 pm)

FPI odds: The Seahawks’ chances of being the No. 1 seed in the NFC are 5.4%.


Scenario: Washington’s scenario for reaching the playoffs and winning the NFC East is very simple: winning Philadelphia. The only possible playoff seed that Washington has at stake is the fourth.

Follow relevant matches live: WSH-PHI (8:20 pm)

FPI odds: Washington has a 60.4% chance of winning the NFC East and reaching the playoffs.


Scenario: The Buccaneers managed to get a place in the playoffs, but were eliminated from the southern NFC race. They will be NFC number 5 or 6. Tampa Bay may end with the best wild card seeding (No. 5) with a win against Atlanta OR a defeat by Rams.

Follow relevant matches live: ATL-TB (13h) | ARI-LAR (4:25 pm)

FPI Odds: Buccaneers’ chances of being AFC number 5 are 85.9%.


Scenario: The Rams can guarantee a playoff spot with a win against Arizona OR a loss in Chicago. They can end with the best sowing of the wild card (No. 5), with a victory and a defeat in Tampa Bay. They are eliminated from the race for the NFC West title.

Follow relevant matches live: ARI-LAR (16h25) | GB-CHI (4:25 pm) | ATL-TB (13h)

FPI Odds: The Rams have an 85.2% chance of reaching the playoffs.


Scenario: The Bears can guarantee a playoff spot with a win against Green Bay OR a loss in Arizona. They are eliminated from the race for the NFC North title.

Follow relevant matches live: GB-CHI (4:25 pm) | ARI-LAR (4:25 pm)

FPI odds: The Bears have a 70.2% chance of reaching the playoffs.


CURRENTLY OUT

Scenario: The Cardinals can guarantee a playoff spot with a win against Rams. They are eliminated from the NFC West title race.

Follow relevant matches live: ARI-LAR (4:25 pm)

FPI odds: The Cardinals have a 44.6% chance of reaching the playoffs.


Scenario: The Cowboys can guarantee NFC East and a playoff spot with a win against the Giants and a loss in Washington. The only seeding of the playoff that Dallas has at stake is number 4.

Follow the relevant matches live: DAL-NYG (1pm) | WSH-PHI (8:20 pm)

FPI odds: Cowboys have a 15.8% chance of winning the NFC East and reaching the playoffs.


Scenario: The Giants can guarantee NFC East and a playoff spot with a win against the Cowboys and a loss in Washington. The only possible playoff selection New York has at stake is No. 4.

Follow relevant matches live: DAL-NYG (1pm) | WSH-PHI (8:20 pm)

FPI Odds: The Giants have a 23.7% chance of winning the NFC East and reaching the playoffs.

AFC

Scenario: The Chiefs won both AFC West and No. 1 seed from the conference. They will receive the advantage of playing at home during the AFC playoffs and a wildcard round.

Follow relevant matches live: LAC-KC (4:25 pm)

FPI odds: The Chiefs achieved everything they could at AFC. They have a 31.5% chance of winning the Super Bowl, by far the highest percentage in the NFL.


Scenario: The Bills blocked AFC East, but were eliminated from the chance to take first place at the conference. They will be AFC seed # 2 or # 3. Buffalo can win the second seed – which sets up a wildcard match with the seventh key – with a victory against Miami OR a defeat for Pittsburgh.

Follow relevant matches live: MIA-BUF (13h) | PIT-CLE (1pm)

FPI odds: Bills’ chances of being second in AFC are 83.0%.


Scenario: The Steelers closed AFC North, but were eliminated from the chance to take first place at the conference. They will be AFC seed # 2 or # 3. Pittsburgh can win the second seed – which constitutes a wildcard match with the seventh seed – with a victory over Cleveland and a defeat for Buffalo.

Follow relevant matches live: PIT-CLE (13h) | MIA-BUF (1pm)

FPI odds: Steelers’ chances of being runner-up in AFC are 17.0%.


Scenario: The Titans can conquer AFC South with a victory against the Texans OR a defeat in Indianapolis. They can also guarantee a playoff spot if they lose the division with a loss in Baltimore OR Miami.

Follow relevant matches live: TEN-HOU (16h25) | JAX-IND (4:25 pm) | BAL-CIN (13h) | MIA-BUF (1pm)

FPI odds: Titans have a 91.8% chance of reaching the playoffs and a 63.9% chance of winning AFC South.


Scenario: Dolphins can guarantee a playoff spot with a win against Buffalo OR a loss in Baltimore OR a loss in Cleveland OR a loss in Indianapolis. They can end the first division of the wild card (No. 5) with a win or lose in Baltimore, Cleveland and Indianapolis. They are eliminated from the AFC East title race.

Follow relevant matches live: MIA-BUF (13h) | PIT-CLE (13h) | JAX-IND (4:25 pm) | BAL-CIN (1pm)

FPI odds: Dolphins have an 80.0% chance of reaching the playoffs.


Scenario: The Ravens can guarantee a playoff spot with a win against Cincinnati OR a defeat by Cleveland OR a defeat by Indianapolis. They can end with the first selection of the wild card (No. 5), with a victory and a defeat in Miami. They are eliminated from the AFC North title race.

Follow relevant matches live: BAL-CIN (13h) | JAX-IND (4:25 pm) | PIT-CLE (13h) | MIA-BUF (1pm)

FPI Odds: The Ravens have a 90.2% chance of reaching the playoffs.


Scenario: The Browns can guarantee a playoff spot with a victory against Pittsburgh OR a defeat in Indianapolis OR a victory in Baltimore, a victory in Indianapolis, a victory in Miami and a defeat in Tennessee. They can end the first division of the wild card (No. 5) with a win, a loss in Baltimore and a loss in Miami. They are eliminated from the AFC North title race.

Follow relevant matches live: PIT-CLE (13h) | JAX-IND (4:25 pm) | TEN-HOU (16h25) | BAL-CIN (1:00 pm) | MIA-BUF (1pm)

FPI odds: The Browns have a 57.7% chance of reaching the playoffs.


CURRENTLY OUT

Scenario: The Colts can conquer AFC South with a victory over the Jaguars and a defeat in Tennessee. They can also guarantee a playoff spot if they lose the division with a win and lose in Baltimore OR a win and lose in Cleveland OR a win and lose in Miami. They can end the first division of the wild card (No. 5) with a victory, a defeat in Baltimore, a defeat in Cleveland, a defeat in Miami and a victory in Tennessee.

Follow relevant matches live: JAX-IND (4:25 pm) | TEN-HOU (16h25) | BAL-CIN (13h) | PIT-CLE (13h) | MIA-BUF (1pm)

FPI Odds: The Colts have an 80.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 36.1% chance of winning AFC South.

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