A professor and surgeon at Johns Hopkins says the coronavirus may have “practically disappeared” in April.
Marty Makary, who teaches at the university’s School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, said in an opinion article published in the Wall Street Journal on Friday that daily infections have decreased 77 percent since January.
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“There is reason to think that the country is running towards an extremely low level of infection,” wrote Makary. “As more people become infected, most of whom have mild symptoms or no symptoms at all, there are fewer Americans to be infected. In the current trajectory, I hope that COVID will have disappeared in April, allowing Americans to resume normal life.”
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Vaccination and the high number of people who have already been infected in the U.S. – more than 28 million – can contribute to collective immunity in the spring, said Makary.
The White House and other experts have not been so optimistic, with some saying that collective immunity may not be achieved until much later this year.
Herd immunity occurs when a sufficient number of people become immune to a virus, interrupting its spread. Makary also said he would protect against the spread of new strains of the coronavirus.
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“When the chain of transmission of the virus has been interrupted in several places, it is more difficult to spread – and that includes the new strains,” he said.