Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.
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2021 GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS:
BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOVING IMAGE
UPDATED: Jan. 3, 2021
AWARDS COMMENT:
With the news that Stanley Tucci was removed from this category by HFPA and the men of “One Night in Miami” followed the support route after the Globes forced them to be together, this category could take on a very different form than it could finally end up happening with the Academy. For example, we could find Kingsley Ben-Adir joining his co-star Leslie Odom, Jr as a nominated colleague. HFPA has had problems in the past to build consensus around a large group (an example is the exclusion of all “Spotlight” actors). With Sacha Baron Cohen guaranteed a nomination (who knows a victory?) For “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”, will they pass it on in this space? In fact, how many double (even potential) candidates will HFPA have? Will they feel compelled to spread the love? February 3 will say.
“One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios)
Amazon Studios
AND THE PREDICTED NOMINATES ARE:
Daniel Kaluuya"Judas and the Black Messiah" (Warner Bros.)OSCAR HISTORY: 1 nominationROLE: Fred Hampton
–DIRECTOR: Shaka KingSYNOPSIS: The story of Fred Hampton, Chairman of the Illinois Black Panther Party, and his fateful betrayal by FBI informant William O'Neal.STARRING: Lakeith Stanfield, Daniel Kaluuya, Dominique Fishback, Jesse Plemons, Martin Sheen, Dominique Thorne, Algee Smith, Lil Rel Howery, Jermaine Fowler
Leslie Odom, Jr."One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)OSCAR HISTORY: Never nominatedROLE: Sam Cooke
–DIRECTOR: Regina KingSYNOPSIS: A fictional account of one incredible night in 1964, where four icons of activism, sports and music – Malcolm X, Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown and Sam Cooke – gathered, discussing their roles in the civil rights movement and cultural upheaval of the ’60s.STARRING: Kingsley Ben-Adir, Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Leslie Odom, Jr.
Chadwick Boseman"Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)OSCAR HISTORY: Never nominatedROLE: Stormin' Norman
–DIRECTOR: Spike LeeSYNOPSIS: Four African American vets battle the forces of man and nature when they return to Vietnam seeking the remains of their fallen squad leader and the gold fortune he helped them hide.STARRING: Delroy Lindo, Clarke Peters, Jonathan Majors, Chadwick Boseman, Isiah Witlock, Jr,, Norm Lewis
Bill Murray"On the Rocks" (A24/Apple TV Plus)OSCAR HISTORY: 1 nominationROLE: Felix
–DIRECTOR: Sofia CoppolaSYNOPSIS: A young mother reconnects with her larger-than-life playboy father on an adventure through New York.STARRING: Rashida Jones, Bill Murray, Marlon Wayans, Jessica Henwick, Jenny Slate
Kingsley Ben-Adir"One Night in Miami" (Amazon Studios)OSCAR HISTORY: Never nominatedROLE: Malcolm X
–DIRECTOR: Regina KingSYNOPSIS: A fictional account of one incredible night in 1964, where four icons of activism, sports and music – Malcolm X, Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown and Sam Cooke – gathered, discussing their roles in the civil rights movement and cultural upheaval of the ’60s.STARRING: Kingsley Ben-Adir, Eli Goree, Aldis Hodge, Leslie Odom, Jr.
Sorkin and Sacha Baron Cohen on the set of “The Trail of the Chicago 7”.
Photo courtesy of Netflix
NEXT IN LINE:
Sacha Baron Cohen"The Trial of the Chicago 7" (Netflix)OSCAR HISTORY: 1 nomination (2006's "Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan" in adapted screenplay)ROLE: Abbie Hoffman
–DIRECTOR: Aaron SorkinSYNOPSIS: The story of 7 people on trial stemming from various charges surrounding the uprising at the 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois.STARRING: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, Sacha Baron Cohen, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Michael Keaton, Frank Langella, John Carroll Lynch, Eddie Redmayne, Mark Rylance, Alex Sharp, Jeremy Strong
Glynn Turman"Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)OSCAR HISTORY: Never nominatedROLE: Toledo
–DIRECTOR: George C. WolfeSYNOPSIS: Chicago, 1927. A recording session. Tensions rise between Ma Rainey, her ambitious horn player and the white management determined to control the uncontrollable "Mother of the Blues". Based on Pulitzer Prize winner August Wilson's play..STARRING: Chadwick Boseman, Dusan Brown, Jonny Coyne, Viola Davis, Colman Domingo, Taylour Paige, Michael Potts, Jeremy Shamos, Glynn Turman
Paul Raci"Sound of Metal" (Amazon Studios)OSCAR HISTORY: Never nominatedROLE: Joe
–DIRECTOR: Darius MarderSYNOPSIS: A heavy-metal drummer's life is thrown into freefall when he begins to lose his hearing.STARRING: Riz Ahmed, Olivia Cooke, Paul Raci, Mathieu Almaric, Lauren Ridloff
David Strathairn"Nomadland" (Searchlight Pictures)OSCAR HISTORY: 1 nominationROLE: Dave
–DIRECTOR: Chloé ZhaoSYNOPSIS: After losing everything in the Great Recession, an old woman embarks on a journey through the American West, living as a van-dwelling modern-day nomad.STARRING: Frances McDormand, David Strathairn, Linda May, Swankie, Bob Wells
Colman Domingo"Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)OSCAR HISTORY: Never nominatedROLE: Cutler
–DIRECTOR: George C. WolfeSYNOPSIS: Chicago, 1927. A recording session. Tensions rise between Ma Rainey, her ambitious horn player and the white management determined to control the uncontrollable "Mother of the Blues". Based on Pulitzer Prize winner August Wilson's play..STARRING: Chadwick Boseman, Dusan Brown, Jonny Coyne, Viola Davis, Colman Domingo, Taylour Paige, Michael Potts, Jeremy Shamos, Glynn Turman
Hamilton
Joan Marcus
ALSO IN CONTENTION:
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II,“The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)Bo Burnham,“Promising young woman” (resources in focus)Billy Crystal,“Standing Up, Falling Down” (Shout! Factory)Charles Dance,“Mank” (Netflix)Daveed Diggs,“Hamilton” (Disney Plus)Lucas Hedges,“French Exit” (Sony Pictures Classics)Aldis Hodge,“One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios)Arliss Howard,“Mank” (Netflix)Caleb Landry Jones,“The Outpost” (Chicken Soup for Entertainment of the Soul)Alan S. Kim,“Minari” (A24)Frank Langella,“The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)Jared Leto,“The Little Things” (HBO Max / Warner Bros.)Diego Luna,“Wander Darkly” (Lionsgate)Jonathan Majors,“Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix)Mark Rylance,“The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)
Golden Globe forecasts for 2021 (film)
2020-2021 Golden Globe Award Schedule
- Deadline for sending Golden Globe films and television registration forms - November 30, 2020
- Deadline for television nomination cards to be sent to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young - December 30, 2020
- Deadline for Ernst & Young to receive television nominations at 8:00 pm ET / 5:00 pm PT - January 12, 2021
- Deadline for nominations for films to be sent to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young at 8:00 pm ET / 5:00 pm PT - January 13, 2021
- The final screening date for films - January 26, 2021
- The final date for the Motion Picture press conferences - January 27, 2021
- Deadline for Ernst & Young's receipt of cinema nomination tickets at 3 pm ET / 12 noon PT - January 30, 2021
- Nominations for the 78th Golden Globe Awards announced at 8am ET / 5am PT - February 3, 2021
- Final ballots sent to all HFPA members by Ernst & Young - February 23, 2021
- 78th Annual Golden Globe Award will broadcast live from coast to coast at 8:00 pm ET / 5:00 pm PT on The Beverly Hilton's NBC in Beverly Hills, California - February 28, 2021
Oscar predictions for 2021
About the Golden Globe
O Golden Globe Award, organized by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, has been held annually with 93 members since 1944. The group recognizes excellence in film and television, in drama and comedy or musical categories. “La La Land” by Damien Chazelle holds the record for most awards won for a single film with seven. Milos Forman's “One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest” and Alan Parker's “Midnight Express” are next in line, with six each. Robert Altman's "Nashville" has the record for most nominations received for a movie with 11, while Colin Higgins's "Foul Play", Francis Ford Coppola's "The Godfather Part III" and "Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?" Mike Nichols. share the record for receiving the most nominations and not winning a single prize at seven.