My five pick ’em party blocks:
1) BUF @ KC: Travis Kelce will score a TD in the first half.
Kelce scored nine of his 12 touchdowns this season before the break. Look for the Chiefs to set up the short pass game at the start against Bills to put Patrick Mahomes (if he solves the concussion protocol) in a slot. Kelce was receiving Mahomes’ only TD pass against the Browns, who came in the second quarter.
two) TB @ GB: Aaron Jones will have more than 15 yards in play before Mike Evans.
I go with the player who touches the ball most often for that question. Jones touched the ball 17.5 times per game this season, while Evans’ mark was close to 4.3. While Evans earns more yards by touch, he was held without a move of more than 15 yards last week by Marshon Lattimore. I would not exclude Jaire Alexander from potentially doing the same this Sunday. Jones, on the other hand, broke a 60-yard run against the Rams in the Divisional Round. Look for the weather in Lambeau to put more emphasis on running.
3) TB @ GB: Aaron Rodgers will complete 10 passes before Tom Brady.
I hope the Packers will get off to a hot start in this game, while trying to get back at their 38-10 defeat in week 6. Remember, Green Bay jumped to a quick 10-0 lead in that game. Expect Rodgers and the attack to attack, accumulating some initial conclusions.
4) BUF @ KC: Stefon Diggs reaches 75 yards from reception before Tyreek Hill.
Diggs has 75 yards or more in seven consecutive games and in 10 of his last 11. Hill can certainly accumulate yards himself, but he depends much more on a big move to increase his totals. I hope the fast Chiefs wideout will see a lot of Bills’ cornerbacks, Tre’Davious White, in this game, which will make this great move difficult to achieve.
5) TB @ GB: There will be 14 or more points scored in the fourth Buccaneers-Packers period.
The Buccaneers have the league’s best average of 8.8 points in the fourth quarter of this season (including playoffs), while the Packers are in the middle (6.7). I expect a tough game on Sunday, with Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers dueling to the end.